2024-01-26

Future directions

How to plan for futute landscapes

\(\begin{align*} \text{Maximize} & = \text{Biodiversity} + \text{Resilience} + \text{Human dimension}\end{align*}\)

  • Biodiversity
    • Community composition and rarity
    • Phylogenetic Diversity
    • Functional diversity*
  • Resilience
    • Contiguity (Area)
    • Stochastic components and Global Change Vulnerability
    • Network stability (Trophic and/or mutualistic)*
    • Ecosystem Functioning*
  • Human dimension
    • Food and resource security (Eg. Renewable energy, water)
    • Minimize conflict*

Biodiversity

Maximize biodiversity

\[\max_{\text{ConservationIndex}} \sum_{l, c}^{L,C} \text{LanduseDecision}_{l, c} \cdot \text{S}_{l, c} \cdot \text{PD}_{l, c}\cdot \text{Rar}_{l, c}\]

Resilience in Networks

  • Measures of network stability
  • Trophic and mutualistic
  • With rewiring potential hypothesis
  • Potential colaboration (Eva and Alejo)

Future resilience

  • We use all of this to take decisions about the future (Hannah, L., Roehrdanz, P.R., Marquet, P.A., Enquist, B.J., Midgley, G., Foden, W., Lovett, J.C., Corlett, R.T., Corcoran, D., Butchart, S.H. and Boyle, B., 2020)

Network flow

  • Incorporating species dispersal (Species on the move)
  • Considering Food security
  • Quadratic Network flow (Currently suppervising PhD student in South Africa)
  • Multiple scenarios
  • Possible collaboration with Dr. Anouschka Hof
  • Example report

Geographic representation

Example Landuse (Global contribution)

\(\begin{align*} \text{Maximize} & = \text{Biodiversity} + \text{Resilience} \cdot \text{bonus}\end{align*}\)

  • Trade-off

Individual cell values (Local contribution)

\(\begin{align*} \text{Maximize} & = \text{Biodiversity}_c + \text{Resilience}_c\cdot \text{bonus}\end{align*}\)

Adding human dimension

\[\begin{align*} \text{Maximize} & = \text{Biodiversity} + \text{Resilience} + \text{Human dimension}\end{align*}\]

  • First iteration:
    • Economic yield and number of owners
  • Second iteration:
    • Characterization of actors, who is in the areas of interest (Farmers, Home owners, private companies, municipalities)
    • What are their interests
  • Third iteration:
    • Interview them, what are their concerns (quantitative surveys, Q method, Dr. Arjen Buijs)
    • add them to the optimization

External colaborations

External colaborations

  • Stochastic models in migration and optimization (Cristobal Quiñinao, Chile)
  • Trophic and Mutualistic networks (Isidora Ávila-Thieme, Chile)